27 May, 2023
India is likely to receive "normal" monsoon rains in 2023 despite the high probability of the emergence of El Nino weather phenomenon the mainland and the monsoon is likely to hit (Kerala) on June 4, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Friday during the second stage long range forecast for southwest monsoon.
Sticking to its earlier prediction, the nation's official weather forecaster said that rainfall during the June-September season is likely to be 96-104% of the long-term average, with an error margin of 4%.
IMD defines average, or normal, rainfall as between 96% and 104% of a 50-year average of 88 centimetres (35 inches) for the main rainy season.
El Niño is a climate pattern that describes the unusual warming of surface waters in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. While it is associated with deficient rainfall during the monsoon months of June-September in India, IMD had earlier said that about 40% of El Niño years in the past (1951-2022) were years with normal or above-normal monsoon Rainfall.
The northern limit of southwest monsonsoon continues to pass through 5°N/85°E, 6.5°N/90°E, Nancowry, and 10°N/98°E," said that IMD adding that the conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon into some more parts of south Bay of Bengal, Andaman Sea, and Andaman & Nicobar Islands during next two days.
It has predicted below normal rainfall in northwest India - less than 92 percent of LPA - whereas normal rainfall has been predicted in north east India, central India and southern peninsular India.
Allaying fears of adverse impact on agriculture, IMD said that monsoon core zone which consist of most of the rainfed agriculture areas in the country will most likely see normal monsoon of 94-106% of LPA.
The southwest monsoon starts its journey into the Indian subcontinent from the Kerala coast typically around June 1. The monsoon is vital for India, providing about 70% of annual rain and impacting key crops.
Monsoon is key to the country's economic prosperity amid inflation fuelled by food prices. Adequate rains help boost crop output and lower food prices in India where most of the farmland is rain-fed.
However, while predicting the outlook for the month of June, the IMD said that the month is likely to witness below normal rainfall, below 92% of the normal average.
Tractor Gyan is an expert-led platform that aims to empower Indian farmers by providing accurate and timely information, and technological advancement about tractors and farm equipment in India.
TractorGyan helps farmers with New Tractor information, Compare Tractors, Tractor prices, Buying and selling of second-hand tractors, Tractor Insurance, Tractor Finance, Tractor tyre, Tractor Implements, Tractor EMI calculator and more.
On our Platform, we have information about leading brands :
- In tractors like Mahindra, Sonalika, John Deere, Massey Ferguson
- In Tyres like MRF, Ceat, Apollo etc.
- In Tractor Finance like Mahindra Finance, TVS Finance, Etc.
- In Tractor Implements like Shaktiman, Fieldking, Landforce, Khedut, etc.
- In Tractor Insurance like Mahindra Finance, Axis Bank, ICICI Bank, etc.
TractorGyan is Helping India mechanise by delivering crucial information about tractor buying and guiding farmers at every step so that they get a tractor or farm equipment that empowers and equips them to produce quality yield.
![]() |
What are Top 12 Agricultural / Farming tools in India - Farm equipment benefits and uses
The trending top 12 agricultural equipment for farmer uses have been a big deal for farmers, as they manage the farms but this tool helps them to make... |
![]() |
Top 5 differences between Traditional farming and modern farming | Impact & Types
Farming is an integral part of the Indian economy. With technological advancements and improvements in various structures, there has been a gone debat... |
![]() |
Kiwi Farming: Know everything about how to start kiwi fruit farming in India
Explore the flourishing realm of Kiwi fruit farming in India, including valuable insights on cultivation practices, climate requirements, market prosp... |
Escorts Kubota Limited Sells 10,861 Tractors in September 2023, Despite 11.2% YoY Decline
Faridabad, October 3rd, 2023: Escorts Kubota Limited Agri Machinery Business Division in September 2...
एस्कॉर्ट्स कुबोटा लिमिटेड की सितम्बर'23 में ट्रैक्टर सेल्स में 11.2% की गिरावट, 10,861 ट्रैक्टर बेचे
एस्कॉर्ट्स्स कुबोटा लिमिटेड एग्री मशीनरी बिजनेस डिवीजन ने हाल ही में सितम्बर 2023 में हुई कुल ट्रैक्...
Best 55 HP Tractor in India: Solis 5515 E 4WD with Optimal Mileage, Performance & Power
Solis Yanmar is not an ordinary tractor manufacturer in India. It's the first choice of India...